Jason Moyer on 27/9/2016 at 05:47
As a country, we really need to be stronger on cybering. We have to close the cybering gap to ISIS. I bet Hillary doesn't even have a Tinder account.
june gloom on 27/9/2016 at 05:50
Vae is spinning so hard he's gonna take off.
Jason Moyer on 27/9/2016 at 05:50
PREPARE FOR DOWNCOUNT
Renzatic on 27/9/2016 at 05:59
We need more funky jazzy grandmaster DJs to lay down some mad phat beats while our veterans protect our information superhighways from the ISIS islamics.
Pyrian on 27/9/2016 at 06:29
I've seen a lot of people saying Clinton "won" this debate (for what little that means), but I can't think of any more damning assessment of Trump's performance than the fact that even Vae couldn't find a way to say Trump won it.
Vae on 27/9/2016 at 06:38
Quote Posted by Renzatic
And by what metric do we judge this consequential mass effect by? What are our parameters?
In the coming days, there won't be a poll drop or effect on momentum due to any fallout of the debate...That is the metric that will prove my analysis and short-term prediction.
Quote:
Remember, you're talking about something that changes on a week by week basis, where the last two weeks leading up to the election itself are the most important. Remember, two months ago, FiveThirtyEight had Trump's chances for the presidency sitting above Hillary's at 53%. A month ago, they were below 15%. Yesterday, they were at 50%. That momentum he had last week can be reversed in Hillary's favor, then just as easily flipped back again into Trump's favor depending on the circumstances.
The dynamic, micro-temporal probabilities offered by other sources, are inconsequential.
Keep in mind, you're talking to someone who last year predicted that (
http://www.ttlg.com/forums/showthread.php?t=146075&p=2303526&viewfull=1#post2303526) Trump would win the Presidency, even in the midst of him being in a field of 17, long before he even won the Republican nomination...This was based on a proprietary calculation of extreme probability.
Quote Posted by Pyrian
I've seen a lot of people saying Clinton "won" this debate (for what little that means), but I can't think of any more damning assessment of Trump's performance than the fact that even Vae couldn't find a way to say Trump won it.
Your skewed perception of me, only reflects your own bias.
The truth is, most online polls reflect Trump winning the debate.
...and, I'm not "trying to find a way to say that Trump won the debate"...I could easily do that. I am simply being
objective, in order to provide the most valuable analysis.
Starker on 27/9/2016 at 08:11
Quote Posted by Vae
The dynamic, micro-temporal probabilities offered by other sources, are inconsequential.
Keep in mind, you're talking to someone who last year predicted that (
http://www.ttlg.com/forums/showthread.php?t=146075&p=2303526&viewfull=1#post2303526) Trump would win the Presidency, even in the midst of him being in a field of 17, long before he even won the Republican nomination... This was based on a proprietary calculation of extreme probability.
Do you have an uncle who works for Nintendo or something?
Vivian on 27/9/2016 at 09:12
You own the property rights to the calculation you did about trump winning?
theriser on 27/9/2016 at 10:13
Hillary is the best always
