Pyrian on 22/5/2020 at 03:35
It's pretty easy to see cases getting close to zero by the end of summer if people don't start spreading it again in that timeframe.
Nicker on 22/5/2020 at 08:54
Thanks for providing your sources, Perdustin.
Looks like the IHME model that Trump was using to predict the vanishing COVID summer miracle (previously the Easter miracle) has revised it's predictions upwards a few orders of magnitude. From what I read about it, the optimistic numbers were based on strict adherence to rigid social distancing and other measures, ones which Trump & Co. are opposed to or utterly ignorant of, so cherry picking of the most cynical kind.
zombe on 22/5/2020 at 12:00
Do keep in mind that all their models assume all present social distancing measures, that do not already have a known end date, will remain in effect indefinitely (or more specifically - till the end of the modeled time-span).
Quote:
(
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/faqs)
We updated our assumptions about social distancing when we updated our model on May 4. Our model now assumes that mandates that are currently still in place and have not been scheduled to be relaxed will stay in place through at least August 4. For locations where social distancing policies have been eased or clear plans have been instituted for their easement, we used those dates for the predictions.
jkcerda on 22/5/2020 at 14:25
Quote Posted by Nicker
There are no links in post 2200. I responded to your claims about post 2210, as requested - leave the goalposts alone.
If we can't trust any of the data then your assertions are as BS as any others.
Choosing between data provided by medical professionals for various international sources or the swill concocted by Donald "Per capita relative to WHAT?" and Georgia's "we lie you die" charts, I will choose the former.
my apologies, I got the wrong post .
here
Quote Posted by jkcerda
Sulphur & Judith, Nick?? anyone else NOT in the US. what YOU do in YOUR countries is YOUR problem, I am NOT suggesting things change for YOUR respective countries, if what your countries are doing is working out for YOU? then AWESOME. if not? then that is between you and your the govt of your country, my apologies for not specifying US policy.
Renz, got limited time, I'll address your post in a bit. CAN you and Suphur jump to the post where I have suggested anything specific? cause I think I am yet to do so.
(
https://abc7news.com/suicide-covid-19-coronavirus-rates-during-pandemic-death-by/6201962/?fbclid=IwAR3QLzaAYIbrxL2_6SBJ2pPSYruw_cphaXO8n83lGR8Wkm3IpHiu1QlNsGY)
Quote:
WALNUT CREEK, Calif. (KGO) -- Doctors at John Muir Medical Center in Walnut Creek say they have seen more deaths by suicide during this quarantine period than deaths from the COVID-19 virus.
The head of the trauma in the department believes mental health is suffering so much, it is time to end the shelter-in-place order.
Tony_Tarantula on 22/5/2020 at 14:53
Quote:
my apologies, I got the wrong post .
Incidentally you also got literally everything else you've ever posted here wrong. So I guess you're on a streak here at least.
jkcerda on 22/5/2020 at 15:12
oh I agree that no matter what I show you know it alls are always right.
Nicker on 22/5/2020 at 17:56
:rolleyes:
jkcerda on 22/5/2020 at 21:06
ladies/gentlemen, have a great holiday weekend. downfall of opening up is that traffic sucks again.
