Vae on 12/2/2020 at 02:24
Quote Posted by heywood
On the positive side, Trump’s rally drew a much smaller and mellower crowd this year.
Yeah, this packed arena in New Hampshire is small and mellow!...
Inline Image:
https://www.ttlg.com/forums/images/icons/icon15.gif[video=youtube;R33k5M4a8aU]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R33k5M4a8aU[/video]
Looking good for the Dems!...The time of Drumpf is at an end!...:grr:
heywood on 12/2/2020 at 02:38
Last time, there were huge mobs of people outside his venues causing all sorts of headaches for local law enforcement to manage the crowds and traffic. This time, a relatively quiet crowd hanging around the arena. I'll grant you that he's not contesting a primary this time around. His biggest primary concern is that Bill Weld might get 10% of the vote instead of 2%. But he doesn't have a lot of visible support compared to this time in 2016.
Vae on 12/2/2020 at 02:58
Quote Posted by heywood
Last time, there were huge mobs of people outside his venues causing all sorts of headaches for local law enforcement to manage the crowds and traffic. This time, a relatively quiet crowd hanging around the arena. I'll grant you that he's not contesting a primary this time around.
Yes, that's likely the reason for a small reduction of
visible street support,
at the moment.
However, keep in mind that even as we speak, Trump is still getting
five times the turnout of the entire Dem candidate field.
Quote:
His biggest primary concern is that Bill Weld might get 10% of the vote instead of 2%.
It's highly likely that Weld will be crushed into irrelevance...Right now, I estimate a 98% probability of Trump emerging victorious in 2020.
Renzatic on 12/2/2020 at 03:27
Quote Posted by Vae
However, keep in mind that even as we speak, Trump is still getting
five times the turnout of the entire Dem candidate field.
Source for this? The only thing I can find on Trump's turnout votes, and potential bad news for the Democrats, is (
https://www.chicagotribune.com/election-2020/ct-nw-nyt-iowa-low-voter-turnout-20200209-pr5qqnkoojbjhf5c5qxetd2ipy-story.html) this. It's not great, but it's not the doom 'n gloom you're preaching. The Iowa Democrat caucus brought out 175,000 people to their various campaigns, while Trump's brought out 30,000 for him alone in a nigh uncontested field.
Pyrian on 12/2/2020 at 04:05
Currently Trump is getting less than half of the Democratic field in New Hampshire. ...Which is kind of a lot, actually, given his relative lack of opposition, but it's nothing resembling five times as much.
EDIT: I assume - well, hope - Vae is talking about rally sizes, and not voter turnout?
Trump never stopped throwing campaign rallies, which in any other presidency would've been amongst the weirdest aspects of it, but in Trump's presidency doesn't out-weird your average Tuesday.
jkcerda on 12/2/2020 at 04:43
Like it or not democrats are the ones making everyone with common sense to vote for trump
Renzatic on 12/2/2020 at 04:47
I love how one day JK's all like "FUCK YEAH, I'D VOTE FOR BERNIE", then the next "THE DEMOCRATS ARE SCARING AWAY THE AVERAGE VOTER!"
Trolls can only troll so long as their trolling isn't obvious. Which I guess it isn't yet, because someone WILL give a serious reply to this.
Pyrian on 12/2/2020 at 04:55
Honestly, if the "average voter" isn't terrified by Trump, there's nothing the Democratic field can offer that would perturb them.
...So who is Amy Klobuchar again and why is she suddenly a contender?
Vae on 12/2/2020 at 05:07
Quote Posted by Pyrian
Currently Trump is getting less than half of the Democratic field in New Hampshire. ...Which
is kind of a lot, actually, given his relative lack of opposition, but it's nothing resembling five times as much.
EDIT: I assume - well,
hope - Vae is talking about rally sizes, and not voter turnout?
Yes, that is correct...That was the context of the conversation.
Sulphur on 12/2/2020 at 05:14
Quote Posted by Renzatic
I love how one day JK's all like "FUCK YEAH, I'D VOTE FOR BERNIE", then the next "THE DEMOCRATS ARE SCARING AWAY THE AVERAGE VOTER!"
Trolls can only troll so long as their trolling isn't obvious. Which I guess it isn't yet, because someone WILL give a serious reply to this.
No, he's been trolling here long enough and obviously enough that that's patently not true. He's a dingbat collector, and attempting conversation with him in a serious context is for people who have too much time and too little sense on their hands. Or, you know. Dingbats.
